US
macroeconomic developments today will we trace slowly with regard to part of
economic growth and inflation part of the US macroeconomic.
From the
economic growth of labor growth factor becomes the starting point of hacking a
growth state. Connection here is that the pace of labor could affect all
sectors is at the economic growth.
The
development of the US labor sector is experiencing a trend improvement from
late 2013 until now when the Fed's stimulus package ends so likely trend of the
US workforce will continue to improve at a time when that will come.
Improvements in this sector will certainly change the behavior of spending or
consumer spending since the US experienced raising consumer income.
Read also US Interest Rates and Gold: A Confidence In Confusion
The
direction of consumer shopping behavior continues to improve making the other
sectors will also change the trend towards more nice. Behavior consumer
spending rose in the theory of macro economy will certainly make the sector
sale of property or the index of housing, the index of retail sales or retail
sales, banking activities and order order goods or durable goods orders
increasingly have a positive trend, so if we see that the rate of economic
growth in The US also leads to positive things.
With the
potential economic growth rate is a good chance the velocity of money in the US
will grow in size and made increasingly rising prices due to depletion of
stocks in the business sector (business inventories and wholesale inventories).
The rate
of economic growth that occurs is usually followed by the rate of inflation so
that the task of the central bank is to resist such headway that macroeconomic
run in accordance with the theory of economic balance. Potential interest rate
hikes will be seen when there is something like this after holding the velocity
of money or money supplay excessively inside the country.
Potential
increase in US interest rates is being peered at the surface and komidity
global financial markets with the opportunities that if this happens then
inevitably it will have strengthened the dollar index, which means also that
the gold price will be corrected fairly deep.
Well kept
it is undesirable from the Fed itself as a strengthening interest rates there
has been no final decision in time and place. And the strengthening of the
dollar index will also affect the balance of payments deficit increase.
Expectations
of the Fed that the strengthening of the dollar index occurs when the decision
is final interest rate increase at the meetings of the FOMC meeting this year.